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Austin (City) LIMITS - Change Debate Results in Little Change

Debates can change the dynamic of an election, but they can just as easily solidify the narratives controlling a contest. Tonight's CNN/Univision Debate at the LBJ Library in Austin likely did the latter.

I believe three things happened that convince me the debate will better serve Obama's purpose than a Clinton shakeup.

1. Clinton's finest moment of all nineteen debates was, in the end, a concession.

2. Obama's narratives were sustained, even advanced.

3. The ability for Hillary to go negative after the debate was functionally forfeited.


Each point is found in statements directly from the debate.


I. Clinton's Closing.

Hillary's closing statement was perhaps her best moment in the campaign. For a rare moment ambitions, history, and wonkish manner were traded for what felt authentic, moving, grounded. She showed humanity, a genuine rationale for "hanging in there," and invited the affect that delivered New Hampshire. Of course closing statements alone cannot sustain 24/7 news needs for long, assuring other interchanges will soon dominate.

Part of why her closing statement was so powerful was that it felt like she was finally admitting the state of the contest, a realization that she has obstacles in her way, perhaps insurmountable.

That honesty alone, truthfulness not before admitted, allowed the viewer close for a moment.
The tradeoff was her closing mastery also seemed to be the peroration of her concession statement. In her own words:

And, you know, no matter what happens in this contest -- and I am honored, I am honored to be here with Barack Obama. I am absolutely honored. (APPLAUSE)

Whatever happens, we're going to be fine. You know, we have strong support from our families and our friends. I just hope that we'll be able to say the same thing about the American people, and that's what this election should be about.

II. Transitional politics/process became the decision point

The debate was more an issue-based love fest than exposing fissures that could affect the campaign. Skirmishes on negotiation and health care provided entertainment but were not fresh. In the end the message was Clinton and Obama agreed on most policies.

What differed was Obama's ability to bring each exchange to a larger question, to describe the nature of transitional politics, the salience of process in bringing about change. In other words Obama's characterization of what the future can look like and the manner of getting there was sustained--over and over, without rebuttal.

Obama refrain, repeated many times in the debate, is best illustrated by the following excerpt, a view essentially ratified by Clinton's silence on the more inclusive narrative.

OBAMA: Now, I think that Senator Clinton has a fine record and I don't want to denigrate that record. I do think there is a fundamental difference between us in terms of how change comes about. Senator Clinton of late has said: Let's get real. The implication is that the people who've been voting for me or involved in my campaign are somehow delusional. (LAUGHTER)

And that, you know, the 20 million people who've been paying attention to 19 debates and the editorial boards all across the country at newspapers who have given me endorsements, including every major newspaper here in the state of Texas. (APPLAUSE)

You know, the thinking is that somehow, they're being duped, and eventually they're going to see the reality of things.

Well, I think they perceive reality of what's going on in Washington very clearly. What they see is that if we don't bring the country together, stop the endless bickering, actually focus on solutions and reduce the special interests that have dominated Washington, then we will not get anything done. And the reason that this campaign has done so well. (APPLAUSE)

The reason that this campaign has done so well is because people understand that it is not just a matter of putting forward policy positions.

Senator Clinton and I share a lot of policy positions. But if we can't inspire the American people to get involved in their government and if we can't inspire them to go beyond the racial divisions and the religious divisions and the regional divisions that have plagued our politics for so long, then we will continue to see the kind of gridlock and nonperformance in Washington that is resulting in families suffering in very real ways.

III. Negativity Conceded:

This point is really a continuation of Obama's narrative about rising above the trivial, about talking straight to voters, about seeking unity not division. On more than one occasion the very heart of Clinton's "political" jibes were answered in full, with ridicule enhanced through the lens of politeness.

For example consider the exchange regarding the plagiarism. Not only is the specific charge turn on its head, the underlying issue of word's power was toughened.

Combine a debate dominated by cooperation, agreement, and mutual affirmation with gutting her positions that "he plagiarizes, he won't debate, he is an empty vessel" what ground is left to go negative.

Obama: I've been campaigning now for the last two years. Deval is a national co-chairman of my campaign, and suggested an argument that I share, that words are important. Words matter. And the implication that they don't I think diminishes how important it is to speak to the American people directly about making America as good as its promise. Barbara Jordan understood this as well as anybody.

And the notion that I had plagiarized from somebody who was one of my national co-chairs. (APPLAUSE)

... who gave me the line and suggested that I use it, I think, is silly, and.. (APPLAUSE)

... you know, this is where we start getting into silly season, in politics, and I think people start getting discouraged about it... (LAUGHTER)

... and they don't want...
(APPLAUSE)

What they want is, how are we going to create good jobs and good wages?

What I've been talking about is not just hope and not just inspiration. It's a $4,000 tuition credit for every student, every year, in exchange for national service... (APPLAUSE)

(More examples)

So just to finish up, these are very specific, concrete, detailed proposals, many of them which I have been working on for years now. Senator Clinton has a fine record. So do I. I'm happy to have a debate on the issues, but what we shouldn't be spending time doing is tearing each other down. We should be spending time lifting the country up. (APPLAUSE)

BROWN: Senator Clinton, is it the silly season?

CLINTON: Well, I think that if your candidacy is going to be about words, then they should be your own words. That's, I think, a very simple proposition. (APPLAUSE)

And, you know, lifting whole passages from someone else's speeches is not change you can believe in, it's change you can Xerox. And I just don't think...

OBAMA: Come on. (CROSSTALK)

CLINTON: No, but, you know, but, Barack, it is.
Because, you know, if you look -- if you look -- if you look at the YouTube of these videos, it does raise questions.

Now, there is no doubt that you are a passionate, eloquent speaker, and I applaud you for that. But when you look at what we face in this country, we do need to unite the country, but we have to unite it for a purpose around very specific goals.

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While I agree that the three narratives of the debate discussed in your post were perhaps the most important moments in last nights debate.  And while Sen. Clinton's answer to the final question was executed beautifully and will definitely be on all the morning shows on Friday (even if it seemed that she was conceding the race to Sen. Obama, which might prove to be an amazing tactical move)  there was another moment in the debate that is definitely worth mentioning.

The health care debate exemplifies the difference between the two candidates.  During this question, both Sen. Obama and Sen. Clinton solidified the positions they have had throughout the whole campaign.

Sen. Obama explained why the idea of change in Washington is so appealing to voters.  "Opening up the process, letting everyone have a seat at the table...we can have great plans but if we do not change how the politics is working in Washington then none of our plans are going to happen."  Who can't get on board with that?

Sen. Clinton did not have the chance to respond to this question due to the quick break but took the opportunity of the next question to describe the real differences in their policies.  She described it as not a "philosophical difference" but a "substantive difference."  She proved that she has a clear understanding and more importantly, a concrete plan, on why her strategy would work.

I think either camp can spin this debate as victory for their candidate.  The real loser: the Republican party.

by AEKirzinger on 02/22/2008 08:38:26 AM EST